The 50th anniversary of the UCLA School of Medicine provides an occasion to celebrate the former visionaries and astounding accomplishments of the past half-century. However, this milestone also challenges us to look forward and anticipate changes that will occur in medicine in our education, research and patient care missions. In the pioneering spirit that has been UCLA's trademark, we asked some of UCLA's medical leaders to predict what medicine will look like 50 years hence:

  • Dr. Dieter Enzmann
  • Imaging will continue to expand beyond its current mainly diagnostic boundaries into therapy.
  • Dr. Ronald Busuttil

  • Within the next 50 years, liver transplantation will have a much different look.
  • Dr. J. Thomas Rosenthal
  • What will managed care and health care delivery look like 50 years from now? Doctors and hospitals will be linked into provider organizations.
  • Dr. Elizabeth Neufeld

  • In the immediate future, biochemists will learn all about the three-dimensional structure of large molecules (proteins, nucleic acids, complex carbohydrates) and about changes that occur when these molecules interact with each other.
  • Dr. Alan Robinson

  • The computer itself will be used with voice recognition programs such that a student can practice taking a history by asking questions of a computer program.
  • Dr. Lou Ignarro

  • Our scientific discoveries surrounding a compound called nitric oxide over the past 15 years have completely changed the way scientists and physicians consider possible causes, treatment and prevention of cardiovascular disease.
  • Dr. Hillel Laks

  • The totally implantable artificial heart will be commonly available to heart transplant recipients within the next 50 years.
  • Dr. Leena Peltonen

  • Patient's genetic information will be routinely an essential components of overall health care.
  • Dr. Rodney Withers

  • Coming developments in radiation oncology will include systems for direct translations of 3-D images into computer-driven radiation treatment delivery systems, allowing higher doses directly into the tumor and lower doses to normal structures.
  • Dr. Irvin Chen

  • The development of an effective vaccine is the only long-term solution to the worldwide AIDS epidemic.
  • Dr. Edward R.B. McCabe

  • There will be dramatic advances in treatment involving protein, gene and stem cell therapies.

     

    Copyright 2002 Regents of the University of California
    Article originally appeared in:
    UCLA Medicine, Volume 22, Number 1
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